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Tue, Oct

Record Food Stocks May Cushion Impact of El Niño Shock

Record Food Stocks May Cushion Impact of El Niño Shock

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A powerful El Niño weather event expected to intensify in the coming months could disrupt global food production, but record-high inventories of major crops may help soften the impact, analysts and officials said.

El Niño typically brings hotter and drier conditions to large parts of Asia while increasing rainfall across the Americas. Meteorologists expect the 2026/27 event could become one of the strongest on record, raising concerns over possible crop losses, food price increases and economic disruption.

Previous strong El Niño events caused major agricultural damage. The 2015–16 episode brought droughts, floods and record temperatures that affected farming across Asia and Africa, while the 1997–98 event triggered widespread floods, wildfires and crop failures.

However, this year’s situation could be different because several consecutive years of strong harvests have boosted global food reserves.

“There is a bit of silver lining as far as global stocks and recent harvests of rice and other cereals is concerned,” said Shirley Mustafa, an economist at the U.N. Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO), adding that inventories could help absorb

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